Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.424337e-05 4.108092e-05 0.000048 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.434593e-05 3.292361e-05 0.000043 0.000055 0.000070 0.000087 0.000107
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.852582e-05 2.793428e-05 0.000040 0.000055 0.000074 0.000097 0.000125
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.371010e-05 2.311140e-05 0.000036 0.000053 0.000075 0.000103 0.000139
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.031261e-05 1.944360e-05 0.000032 0.000051 0.000077 0.000109 0.000151
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.205992e-06 1.718455e-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000080 0.000117 0.000166
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.273911e-06 1.476040e-05 0.000028 0.000050 0.000081 0.000122 0.000178
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.811789e-06 1.277719e-05 0.000026 0.000049 0.000082 0.000127 0.000190
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.607536e-06 1.094533e-05 0.000024 0.000047 0.000083 0.000131 0.000200
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.579891e-06 9.145945e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000082 0.000134 0.000208
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.744392e-06 7.449569e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000080 0.000134 0.000214
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.200608e-06 6.228409e-06 0.000018 0.000041 0.000080 0.000137 0.000221
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.977130e-07 5.691424e-06 0.000018 0.000043 0.000086 0.000150 0.000246
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.064319e-07 4.531296e-06 0.000016 0.000041 0.000086 0.000155 0.000261
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.926337e-07 3.776092e-06 0.000015 0.000041 0.000089 0.000164 0.000281
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.282064e-07 2.897378e-06 0.000013 0.000040 0.000089 0.000169 0.000295
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.703431e-08 2.228465e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000090 0.000174 0.000309
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.698775e-08 1.842399e-06 0.000011 0.000038 0.000092 0.000183 0.000329
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.733700e-09 1.414817e-06 0.000010 0.000037 0.000093 0.000188 0.000344
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.888561e-11 1.083243e-06 0.000009 0.000036 0.000094 0.000194 0.000360
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.958693e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000094 0.000199 0.000374
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.400904e-07 0.000007 0.000033 0.000093 0.000201 0.000385
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.327574e-07 0.000006 0.000031 0.000091 0.000202 0.000392